Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 13.144531 14.835779 16.783564 19.222121 22.236414 25.900012 3.078674e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.967892 12.984135 15.489504 18.916376 23.627575 30.122883 4.025830e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.774342 11.937714 14.766061 18.882726 25.007815 34.345353 5.105841e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.013104 11.286106 14.383322 19.134132 26.714059 39.411017 6.555410e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.193928 10.435635 13.578425 18.581504 26.983888 42.120423 7.715478e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.667128 9.924344 13.177280 18.549666 28.057531 46.570134 9.561009e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.065111 9.243702 12.441595 17.856878 27.797969 48.280032 1.085792e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.481785 8.542468 11.605517 16.883040 26.824532 48.165498 1.162998e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.016531 7.983196 10.941022 16.121297 26.124166 48.480438 1.260899e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.174834 8.368460 11.792119 18.112754 31.365061 65.486412 2.306773e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.083940 8.359390 11.998332 18.960046 34.428451 78.769511 3.702440e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.727017 7.905901 11.419639 18.225670 33.663965 79.722570 4.244850e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.479391 7.628029 11.145703 18.115423 34.544347 87.475545 6.130858e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.228903 7.330414 10.814602 17.851539 34.999070 94.215488 8.910094e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.036922 7.115531 10.609904 17.819689 36.064927 104.495864 1.550473e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.898737 6.980135 10.534563 18.050083 37.932796 120.557407 4.013875e+03
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.672255 6.683755 10.143764 17.543605 37.537761 124.971778 7.600107e+03
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.525758 6.514793 9.975752 17.514407 38.596931 139.132991 6.047149e+04
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.313422 6.223272 9.560425 16.878509 37.608517 139.828596 5.858923e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.081753 5.889848 9.050018 15.982868 35.637211 132.756140 7.419562e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.886938 5.613314 8.635209 15.280809 34.208630 128.896172 1.289801e+08
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.004824 5.881383 9.270343 17.113494 41.824922 207.394982 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.989538 5.914535 9.453293 17.890602 46.168253 279.337626 NaN